Business certainty for evaluating ideas

Powerlaw 

Timing of the business  = T

Market size of the business = M

Finance of the business  = F

Execution ability of the business = E 

Certainty quotient of the business. = T * M *F * E 

C = T*M*F*E

{ T,M ,F,E , C - all values are between 0-1}

This is why success in business is hard. It is a multivariable intersection of variables.

If any of those variables is close to zero - the entire equation gets closer to zero. In order to have a decent chance of success, one has to juggle 4 variables and get them all aligned for success.

Trust me - it is hard.